CONTACT MATCHUP
Can the hitter handle this arsenal?
Weights hitter and pitcher wOBA/xwOBA context plus swing-and-miss performance across the starter’s actual pitch mix.
MLB PITCH MATCHUP LAB
Match the pitcher’s arsenal to the hitter’s strengths.
See how each starter attacks left- and right-handed hitters, then compare the opposing lineup against the exact pitch mix they are expected to see.
HITTER MATCHUP BOARD
Daily pitch-mix advantages
Contact, Power and K Risk are context scores. Pitch Matchup combines those components and shrinks small samples toward neutral.
| # | Hitter | Matchup | Starter | Contact | Power | K Risk | Pitch Matchup | Reliability | Tier |
|---|
Pitch Matchup Lab is waiting for today’s pitch-level refresh.Run the normal publish workflow after current hitter/opposing-pitcher context is available.
POWER MATCHUP
Where is the damage potential?
Weights ISO, expected/contact quality, exit velocity and launch-angle context against the pitches the starter uses most.
K RISK
How much swing-and-miss risk exists?
Combines hitter strikeout/swinging-strike tendencies with the starter’s pitch-specific strikeout and whiff profile. Higher K Risk is worse for the hitter.
SAMPLE GUARDRAIL
Small samples cannot dominate.
Direct pitch-type coverage and weighted plate appearances determine reliability. Medium and low reliability scores are automatically pulled toward league-neutral context.